Tag Archives: barney frank

A Silicon Valley/Venture Capital Solution to the Housing Crisis

(Follow Me on Twitter at watchingmarcitz) 

(Having problems with your Toyota.  Learn how to get more for your troubles)

So President Obama  has finally decided to do ”cram-downs” with taxpayer money.  This is the idea that one should reduce (cram-down) the amount owed on  a house to put it more in line with the new (reduced) value of that house so a person can refinance or won’t just abandon the property.

I am totally opposed to cram-downs (especially for those that are underwater because they chewed up their equity on cash-out refis for frivolous spending) but if Obama is going to do it let’s at least do it in a way that protects taxpayers, encourages the right kind of behavior going forward and isn’t just a handout to the unfortunate or financially ignorant or profligate.  That lesson comes from the way venture capitalists invest in Silicon Valley startups and the answer is “cash for equity.”

Yes cash for equity has already been done with the money going to the banks but the valuation method has all been wrong.  For housing cram-downs its very simple and it aligns everyones goals (at least the ones we want to support)

Take for example you have a house that has $600,000 in loans against it but it is now worth $500,000 .  The owner is seeking to refinance it but can only do so for $500,000 so they need a $100,000 “cram down”. 

If the government (or the bank ) provides it they should get a percentage of equity in the house equal to the cram down amount divided by the new appraised value of the house.

In this case that would be $100,000/$500,000 = 20%

Now when the owner goes to sell the house 20% of the proceeds immediately go to the entity providing the cram-down (government, bank, etc..).

Why is this fair?  Well if you are going into foreclosure you have effectively lost the asset.  Refinancing is a way to buy it back but to buy it back you need a partner to provide some of the financing.  So, in this example, you are effectively asking someone for $100,000 to buy a $500,000 asset (remember $600,000 is irrelevent at this point in the game).  They are putting up 20% of the money so effectively they own 20% of the equity.

Here’s why you do it this way:

  • Supposedly preventing foreclosures will “save the market” so the taxpayer/bank investor should get to partake in the upside (and share the risk on the downside).
  • If the goal is to keep people in their homes with our money then those people better damn well stay in those homes.  This will make that likely because they’ll have to wait it out until either they have paid down the principal on their loan by the equity percent  or the home has risen in value enough so they can sell the home and pay off the cram-down equity holder and the mortgage lender.
  • This should also separate the real homeowner from the “flipper”.  The “flipper” won’t want this “long term commitment” and will just give up the house.  The real homeowner who is committed to staying will be much more agreeable because they truly plan on riding this thing out.

Administering this program is simply done by the IRS which is informed of all major income events and can act as a collection mechanism for this.

So PLEASE don’t do cram-downs but if we must lets do them right.  It works for Silicon Valley to take cash for equity so why not let it work for the rest of the country.

Oh and don’t forget to email Timothy Geithner to tell him what a horrible plan this is.

(Follow Me on Twitter at watchingmarcitz)

(Having problems with your Toyota.  Learn how to get more for your troubles)

New York Times FINALLY Says NO to Housing Bailouts…

An article published on March 14th by Joe Nocera of the New York Times finally called it out clearly that homeowners who got  in over their head shouldn’t be helped by the government. Take this part from Mr. Nocera’s article:

I suppose you could argue that most … lacked the ability or the financial sophistication of someone like Mr. Hedges. But it shouldn’t have mattered…

“These were people with a fair amount of money, and most of them sought no professional advice,” said Bruce C. Greenwald, who teaches value investing at the Graduate School of Business at Columbia University. “It’s like trying to do your own dentistry.” Mr. Hedges said, “It is a real lesson that people cannot abdicate personal responsibility when it comes to their personal finances.”

And that’s the point. People did abdicate responsibility — and now, rather than face that fact, many of them are blaming the government for not, in effect, saving them from themselves…There is a powerful sense that because the agency was asleep at the switch, they have been doubly victimized. And they want the government to do something about it.

And how about this snippet:

“The government should come and say, ‘We bailed out so many others, we can bail you out, and when you will do better, you can give us back the money,’ ” he (Elie Wiesel) said at the Portfolio event.

But why? What happened … is terrible. But every day in this country, people lose money due to financial fraud or negligence. Innocent investors who bought stock in Enron lost millions when that company turned out to be a fraud; nobody made them whole…People lose it all because they start a company that turns out to be misguided, or because they do something that is risky, hoping to hit the jackpot. Taxpayers don’t bail them out, and they shouldn’t start now. Did the S.E.C. foul up? You bet. But that doesn’t mean the investors themselves are off the hook. Investors blaming the S.E.C. for their decision to give every last penny to Bernie Madoff is like a child blaming his mother for letting him start a fight while she wasn’t looking.

OK, now for a little truth-telling. As you may have been able to surmise this WASN’T and article about housing bailouts but about victims ot Bernie Madoff’s Ponzi scheme but isnt’ the sentment the same? In fact its worse than that with respect to homeloaners.  Here Mr. Nocera is saying that vicitms of an outright fraud and theft don’t deserve government help.  The victims in the housing industry are, for the most part, NOT vicitms of fraud (yes there was some but seriously its a VERY small part of the market) and therefore should get even less help. I mean if you aren’t going to help vicitms of crime then why would you even help those that are victims of themselves and just plain bad circumstances.

Does it make any difference that the money lost was in investments as opposed to a house?  Technically it shouldn’t (you spend less either way) but housing has been given a special, irrational place in society as something different.  True you don’t live in your investments but you can always rent, you don’t have to actually own a house (and if you hold a mortgage you don’t “own” your house anyway, you have an option to own in 15-30 years).  But renters are the invisible detritus of society but that is a topic better covered here.

Thank you Mr. Nocera (you can also email him your thanks as well) for being a voice of reason! Please help the New York Times editorial department see that reason as well. Or is that not what you really meant?

(You can see the original text of Mr. Nocera’s article here.)

P.S. See how the Obama administration has now come out AGAINST  in-bankruptcy loan modifications in this article.

Contacting Economic Influencers in the Obama Administration

I now have dug up email addresses for Obama’s top two economic advisers Timothy Geithner and Lawrence Summers.  See this page to see how you can email them and make sure that irresponsible homeowners are not bailed out.

Congress Takes a Page from GM Playbook -WHY???

On Saturday there was an article in the New York Times entitled “At GM, Innovation Sacrificed to Profits“.  The headline of this article should have been “At Congress, Innovation Sacrificed to Profits” and it should have been about the House’s current proposed solution to GM’s “problem” because the parallels are prophetic, ironic and downright scary.  According to this article, GM, when faced with a chance to innovate, would eventually take the money for innovation and redirect it to fund the base business.


If the current proposal goes through to reassign the $25 billion fund, which is slated for innovation, because, and I quote the article, “the money was needed elsewhere” then Congress will be following in GM’s footsteps (a set of footsteps it has been criticizing strongly for the past two weeks) and, one can rightfully assume, will be doomed to the same fate – That’s the PROPHETIC.


Are Ms. Pelosi and Mr. Frank aware that they are behaving just like GM in their current actions? That’s the IRONIC


While GM can go to Congress when it fails who can Congress go to when it makes the same bad decisions?  We the taxpayers – That’s the SCARY.


Is anyone else concerned that Congress has shown no ability to learn EITHER from its own mistakes (how’s their last financial bailout plan going?) let alone the mistakes of others? That’s just SAD

Its time for homeowners to take responsibility for their actions

Representative Barney Frank was quoted in the Wall Street Journal today (9/23) as saying:

 

“I just think it’s inconceivable that people would say that the taxpayers should put some money at risk because of bad decisions made by people who then continue to be rewarded without any restrictions and, in fact, would be rewarded for their mistakes,”

 

While he was referring to financial executives this logic also applies to the individual homeowners when considering the “bailout” and “mortgage relief”.  It is wrong to have taxpayer money going to reward, without any restrictions,  the bad financial decisions of corporate executives or our neighbors. We have to remember that a large percentage of loans that are currently going bad were due to voluntary cash-out refinancings and NOT new mortgage originations.

 

According to RealtyTimes in 2006 (the peak of the bubble) 80% of all refinancings involved taking extra cash out against the growth in home equity to pay down consumer debt.  In short many of the people the government is trying to help with the “mortgage relief” plan are those who endangered their homes because of their consumer debt.  Without that consumer debt they would not have refinanced and would have had an equity cushion to protect them in this type of market.

 

The net effect is the currently contemplated home-owner bailout is going in a large part (indirectly) to paying down consumer debt and rewarding consumers for profligate spending.   Is that a proper use of taxpayer money?  Not according to Mr. Frank

 

So back to Mr. Frank’s quote.  What should those restrictions on homeowners be?

                                       

  • Raise loan standards to pre-bubble norms (e.g. stringent payment/income ratios, down payment minimums, loan documentation)
  • Limit loans/refinancings/modifications/relief to people that meet those proper standards.
  • Offer loans based on current house appraisal prices and at standard market (NON-subsidized) mortgage rates.

 

There is no objective/reliable way to determine who deserves help and who doesn’t (did you lie on your app? were you lied to? blow your equity on a new car?) so why not just use the proper standard consistently as that would be fair, logical, and not reward people for their mistakes. If you cannot meet the standard there is NO REASON why you should keep your house otherwise we are doomed to repeat this over-and-over again.

                                     

Its time for everyone to take their medicine (banks, financial executives and, yes Mr. Frank, even individuals). Don’t fear the falling of prices, welcome the reshuffling of assets from those that cannot afford them to those that can.  That’s how you build an engine for growth and a stable economy.

 

Also remember that saving a borrower who can’t meet the proper standards prevents another family who could meet those standards from buying a home and therefore prolongs this societal pain.  You are hurting as many people as you help.